Even though it happened as recently as 2017, the days when China was importing 28 million tonnes of recovered fibre in a single calendar year are now a fast-fading memory. According to Ercan Yürekli, guest speaker at our Budapest meeting2019年10月，中国纤维进口量可能跌至5 million tonnesin 2020, thereby further redrawing the international trading landscape of yesteryear.

But作为一个行业，我们一直将挑战视为机遇。Moments after outlining the daunting scale of the decline in China’s overseas fibre purchases, Mr Yürekli from the national association of Turkish paper and plastic recyclers and collectors (TÜDAM) was focusing on可能的替代媒体。His own country, he revealed, is expecting domestic paper industry capacity to jump from around 4.2 million tonnes in 2019 to between 6 and 7 million tonnes by the year 2023 – and yet the country is struggling to push its collection rate beyond 40%. Turkish recovered fibre imports have already soared from just over 300,000 tonnes in 2015 to nearer 1 million tonnes in 2019, with further growth to perhaps 2 to 3 million tonnes envisaged by 2023.

As noted at our meeting in Singapore last May, 2019 also brought a significant增加销售机会在其他国家，包括印度，马来西亚，印度尼西亚和菲律宾在内的最著名的国家也是如此。

Such observations provide us withmuch-needed hope for the futuregiven that, in Europe for example, there is a differential of almost 8 million tonnes between the 56.7 million tonnes of paper and board collected for recycling each year in Europe and the 48.8 million tonnes consumed. This surplus is structural in nature, with exports to markets outside of Europe representing the only obvious pressure valve.

Even though China was buying in 2019, its重点是购买美国材料。Thus, last year was characterized largely by a combination of high stocks along the chain, difficulties in finding export markets for our fibre and pressure on prices. Indeed, values close to zero or even into negative territory have been widely mentioned by industry members, alongside comments about the near impossibility of imposing recycling fees on suppliers to render viable some of our more marginal sorting and processing operations.

最重要的是margins have been so compromised在某些年级上，没有动力排序。这是在最初设想循环经济时的梦想场景中吗？作为一个行业，我们应该如何应对这种具有挑战性的市场状况？比以往任何时候都更重要的是production of high-quality materials that conform absolutely to the standards, needs and expectationsof our individual customers. If we fail in this regard, a significant proportion of materials will struggle to find profitable outlets or, indeed, any outlets at all.

As pointed out in Budapest by our General Delegate Sébastien Ricard of Paprec Recyclage, the purchase of manufactured goods from China and the subsequent return of the recyclable packaging to that same country for production of new packaging materials had created over many years循环经济的完美例子。But there has been little credit or appreciation for the二氧化碳排放以这种方式节省。

What these people should also know is that mills and governments throughout the world – not just in China – have become increasingly demanding with regard to the quality they are prepared to accept.质量不是附加额外的；如果要完成业务，这绝对是必需的。

由于出口方案和新的能力发展不足以吸收恢复的纤维盈余，很明显，欧洲和世界其他传统出口地区将需要花费更多的时间和研究来开发新市场 - 以及潜在的新产品媒体 - 对于可能的新产品 - 对于恢复的纤维。因此，很有趣和令人鼓舞的是听到我们部门的副总统马丁·莱安德（Martin Leander）瑞典的绝缘层和卫生部门一直在试验其产品中回收纤维的广泛使用。

Another inspiring thought was voiced in Singapore by our Honorary President Dominique Maguin.由于全球人口增长，对论文的总体需求将扩大他说，生产该论文的最佳方法是从再生纤维中，因为它价格便宜且污染较低。